Hull logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Birmingham logo

Hull City
1 - 1
Birmingham

Jacob (87')
Tufan (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jutkiewicz (18')
Jutkiewicz (39'), Sanderson (43'), Dembele (57'), Etheridge (75'), Bielik (86'), James (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hull City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawBirmingham City
51.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)23.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.6% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (0.010000000000005 0.01)44.36% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)66.73% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (0.00099999999999056 0)17.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49% (0.0019999999999953 0)47.51%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 51.61%
    Birmingham City 24.9%
    Draw 23.48%
Hull CityDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.69%
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.9%

How you voted: Hull City vs Birmingham

Hull City
72.7%
Draw
21.2%
Birmingham City
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Birmingham
0-2
Hull City

Long (55'), Bacuna (90+3')
Delap (12'), Philogene-Bidace (74')
Delap (55')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 16, 2022 3.20pm
Gameweek 15
Hull City
0-2
Birmingham
Deeney (14' pen.), Bacuna (47')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Birmingham
0-0
Hull City
Jones (46')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Hull City
2-0
Birmingham
Honeyman (17'), Wilks (57')
Magennis (43'), Bernard (45+3'), Greaves (65'), Docherty (83')

Hogan (34')
Gardner (43')