Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Emmanuel Dennis 63' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 75' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Patson Daka 11'
  • yellowcard Harry Winks 37'
  • yellowcard Ben Nelson 45'+5'
  • goal Ricardo Pereira 55'
  • yellowcard Jamie Vardy 90'+5'

Watford vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
Watford 0 - 1 Cardiff
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Mileta Rajovic

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
Stoke 0 - 5 Leicester
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result

Watford 34.28% (-0.01)
Draw 23.27% (-0.03)
Leicester City 42.44% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.69% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.24% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 37.76% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 39.99% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 60% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 22.13% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 77.86% (-0.09)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 77.9% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 22.09% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 44.54% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 55.45% (-0.07)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 81.75% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 18.24% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 50.71% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 49.29% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Watford 34.28%
Draw 23.27%
Leicester City 42.44%
Watford
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 34.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.27%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 42.44%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • Wilfred Ndidi 62' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 68' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 76' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 30'
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 30'
  • yellowcard Valerien Ismael 31'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 54'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 72'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 75'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bachmann 83'
  • yellowcard Yaser Asprilla 90'
  • redcard Daniel Bachmann 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 2.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Joao Pedro 6' goal
  • goal James Maddison 18'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 22'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 46'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 55'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 70'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 86'
FA Cup
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT King Power Stadium
  • Youri Tielemans 7' goal
  • James Maddison 25' goal
  • Vontae Daley-Campbell 36' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 54' goal
  • Marc Albrighton 85' goal
  • goal Joao Pedro 27'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 28, 2021 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • James Maddison 16' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 34' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 42' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 68' goal
  • goal Joshua King 30'
  • goal Emmanuel Dennis 61'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Craig Dawson 90'+3' goal
  • redcard Youri Tielemans 40'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 40'
  • goal Ben Chilwell 90'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jamie Vardy 38' yellowcard
  • Caglar Soyuncu 41' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 55' goal
  • Wilfred Ndidi 63' yellowcard
  • James Maddison 95' goal
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Doucoure 46'
  • yellowcard Adam Masina 90'