FA Cup
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • Jamie Vardy 47' goal
  • Yunus Akgun 72' goal
  • Dennis Praet 88' goal
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 65'
  • yellowcard Marc Roberts 77'

Leicester City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Birmingham City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result

Leicester City 68.3% (-0.70)
Draw 18.25% (+0.34)
Birmingham City 13.45% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.45% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.67% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 38.33% (+0.73)
Over 3.5 39.39% (-0.77)
Under 3.5 60.61% (+0.77)
Over 4.5 21.65% (-0.62)
Under 4.5 78.35% (+0.62)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 89.76% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 10.24% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 66.42% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 33.58% (+0.84)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 59.55% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 40.45% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 22.94% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 77.06% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Leicester City 68.29%
Draw 18.25%
Birmingham City 13.45%
Leicester City
2-0 @ 10.75% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.18)
3-0 @ 8.17% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.14)
4-1 @ 4.21% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 68.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.55% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.41% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.14% (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.25%
Birmingham City
1-2 @ 3.87% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 3.75% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.7% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 13.45%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 18, 2023 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Jordan James 14' goal
  • Jordan James 74' goal
  • goal Stephy Mavididi 10'
  • yellowcard Stephy Mavididi 10'
  • goal Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 21'
  • goal Stephy Mavididi 50'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 26, 2020 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 53'
  • goal Marc Albrighton 71'
FA Cup
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • Caglar Soyuncu 56' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pereira 82' goal
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 80'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 1, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • David Cotterill 23' goal
  • Demarai Gray 24' goal
  • goal Robert Huth 59'
  • goal Danny Drinkwater 76'
  • goal Shinji Okazaki 83'
Championship
Jan 28, 2014 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Albert Rusnak 73' yellowcard
  • Peter Lovenkrands 90' goal
  • goal Lloyd Dyer 24'
  • yellowcard Jamie Vardy 38'
  • yellowcard Marcin Wasilewski 74'
  • yellowcard Danny Drinkwater 77'
  • yellowcard Ritchie De Laet 82'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 83'
Championship
Aug 24, 2013 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jamie Vardy 78' goal
  • Andy King 82' goal
  • David Nugent 90' goal
  • goal Matt Green 12'
  • goal Chris Burke 90'