Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.