FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Replays

Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
2 - 1
Hull City

Stansfield (66'), Miyoshi (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lokilo (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hull City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Norwich
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Hull City
33.21% ( -0)	26.23%	40.55%

Both teams to score 52.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41%

51.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62%

73.37%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-0)

29.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.69%

65.3%

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93%

25.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.25%

59.75% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 33.21%

Hull City 40.55%

Draw 26.23%

Birmingham City	Draw	Hull City
1-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.21%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.55%