Championship Gameweek 28
Stoke
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham
  • Jordan Thompson 70' goal
  • Lynden Gooch 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ben Wilmot 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Stansfield 10'
  • goal Juninho Bacuna 49'

Stoke City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
Rotherham 0 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Andre Vidigal

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 2 Swansea
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Stoke City 44.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 26.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Birmingham City 28.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 54.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 24.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 11% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89% ▲ (+0.01)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 76.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 41.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.23% ▲ (+0.03)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 66.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.93%
Over 1.5 29.4%
Under 1.5 70.6%

Score analysis

Stoke City 44.97%
Draw 26.45%
Birmingham City 28.56%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.45%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.56%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 24
Birmingham
Dec 26, 2023 5.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Stoke
  • Koji Miyoshi 12' yellowcard
  • Juninho Bacuna 33' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 69' goal
  • goal Jordan Thompson 12'
  • goal Lynden Gooch 31'
  • yellowcard Andre Vidigal 34'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 51'
  • goal Andre Vidigal 53'
  • yellowcard Joon-Ho Bae 83'
Championship Gameweek 41
Birmingham
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Stoke
Championship Gameweek 20
Stoke
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham
  • Lewis Baker 75' goal
  • goal Scott Hogan 13'
  • goal Harlee Dean 67'
Championship Gameweek 33
Stoke
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Birmingham
  • Tyrese Campbell 25' goal
  • Tyrese Campbell 52' goal
  • goal Jordan James 12'
  • goal Gary Gardner 58'
Championship Gameweek 2
Birmingham
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Stoke
  • Scott Hogan 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Clucas 57'
  • yellowcard Nick Powell 67'
Championship Gameweek 41
Birmingham
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Stoke
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 42' goal
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 53' goal
  • Gary Gardner 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Fletcher 45'

Form Data

Rotherham 0 - 1 Stoke
Stoke 2 - 4 Brighton
Stoke 0 - 0 Ipswich
Watford 1 - 1 Stoke
Birmingham 1 - 3 Stoke
Stoke 0 - 0 Millwall
Birmingham 2 - 1 Hull City
Birmingham 2 - 2 Swansea
Hull City 1 - 1 Birmingham
Leeds 3 - 0 Birmingham
Birmingham 0 - 0 Bristol City
Birmingham 1 - 3 Stoke