Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Mehdi Leris 26' yellowcard
  • Joon-Ho Bae 47' yellowcard
  • Ben Wilmot 90' yellowcard
  • Michael Rose 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Patson Daka 26'
  • goal Kasey McAteer 30'
  • yellowcard Kasey McAteer 40'
  • yellowcard Stephy Mavididi 42'
  • goal Patson Daka 66'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 73'
  • yellowcard James Justin 90'+5'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 90'+8'

Stoke City vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
Sunderland 3 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Andre Vidigal

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Leicester 3 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result

Stoke City 28.95% (-1.38)
Draw 23.93% (-0.33)
Leicester City 47.12% (+1.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.65% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.74% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 43.26% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 34.34% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 65.66% (-0.71)
Over 4.5 17.78% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 82.22% (-0.53)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 71.99% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 28.01% (+0.57)
Over 1.5 36.34% (-0.73)
Under 1.5 63.66% (+0.73)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 81.47% (+0.99)
Under 0.5 18.53% (-0.99)
Over 1.5 50.23% (+1.64)
Under 1.5 49.76% (-1.64)

Score analysis

Stoke City 28.95%
Draw 23.92%
Leicester City 47.12%
Stoke City
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.24)
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.32)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.28)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 28.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.92%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 9.39% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.38% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 5.27% (+0.24)
0-3 @ 4.15% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 3.36% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 2.22% (+0.17)
0-4 @ 1.75% (+0.16)
2-4 @ 1.41% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 47.12%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 24' goal
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 24' goal
  • Jannik Vestergaard 26' yellowcard
  • Jannik Vestergaard 26' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 79' goal
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 32'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 32'
FA Cup
Jan 9, 2021 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Batth 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 28'
  • goal James Justin 34'
  • goal Marc Albrighton 59'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 79'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 81'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 27, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nick Powell 70' goal
  • goal Marc Albrighton 60'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 84'
Premier League
Feb 24, 2018 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marc Albrighton 18' yellowcard
  • Jack Butland 70' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 9'
  • yellowcard Mame Biram Diouf 23'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 44'
  • yellowcard Charlie Adam 82'
Premier League
Nov 4, 2017 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 39' goal
  • Peter Crouch 73' goal
  • goal Vicente Iborra 33'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 60'
Premier League
Apr 1, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wilfred Ndidi 25' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 47' goal
  • Christian Fuchs 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Shawcross 16'
  • yellowcard Glenn Whelan 29'
  • yellowcard Peter Crouch 69'
  • yellowcard Marko Arnautovic 90'