Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
0 - 5
Leicester

Leris (26'), Bae (47'), Wilmot (90'), Rose (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Daka (26', 66' pen.), McAteer (30'), Vardy (73', 90+8' pen.)
McAteer (40'), Mavididi (42'), Justin (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Swansea
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Leicester City
28.95% ( -1.38)	23.93% ( -0.32)	47.12% ( 1.7)

Both teams to score 58.65% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.74% (

0.72)

43.26% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.34% (

0.7)

65.66% (

-0.7)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99% (

-0.56)

28.01% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.34% (

-0.73)

63.66% (

0.72)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

0.98)

18.53% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.23% (

1.64)

49.76% (

-1.64)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 28.95%

Leicester City 47.12%

Draw 23.92%

Stoke City	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.95%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.45% Total : 47.12%