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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
| 37.22% ( | 25.01% ( | 37.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( | 45.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32% ( | 68% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( | 24.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( | 58.48% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( | 23.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.95% ( | 58.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 1-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.78% |