Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.