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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 43.17% ( | 23.69% ( | 33.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.84% ( | 40.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.47% ( | 62.52% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% ( | 18.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.58% ( | 50.42% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( | 23.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( | 58.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 43.17% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.14% |