FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 3
Ipswich

Reeves (17' pen.)
Pell (26')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Davison (8' og.), Tuanzebe (40'), Taylor (90')
Harness (33'), Edmundson (55'), Tuanzebe (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Ipswich
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Ipswich Town
40.22% ( -0.1)	25.02% ( 0.03)	34.75% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 57.4% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.99% (

-0.15)

46% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69% (

-0.14)

68.31% (

0.14)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25% (

-0.11)

22.75% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57% (

-0.17)

56.43% (

0.17)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31% (

-0.03)

25.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.4% (

-0.04)

60.6% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 40.23%

Ipswich Town 34.75%

Draw 25.02%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Ipswich Town
2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.23%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02%	1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.75%