League Two Gameweek 25
AFC Wimbledon
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
5
3
HT : 2 2
FT Kingsmeadow
Colchester
  • Josh Davison 4' goal
  • Joe Lewis 42' goal
  • Josh Davison 52' goal
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 67' goal
  • Josh Davison 71' yellowcard
  • Huseyin Biler 80' yellowcard
  • Omar Bugiel 81' yellowcard
  • Joe Lewis 90'+2' goal
  • goal Cameron McGeehan 7'
  • goal Joe Taylor 25'
  • yellowcard Noah Chilvers 39'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 71'
  • redcard Cameron McGeehan 89'
  • goal Tom Dallison 90'+4'

AFC Wimbledon vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 1 Sutton
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Omar Bugiel

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
MK Dons 1 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Joe Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 16.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 63.65% ▲ (+0.50)
Draw 20.16% ▼ (-0.15)
Colchester United 16.19% ▼ (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.78% ▼ (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 41.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 36.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 63.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.8% ▼ (-0.02)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 87.66% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 12.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 61.84% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 38.16% ▼ (-0.31)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 61.35% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 0.5 38.64% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 1.5 24.61% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 75.39% ▲ (+0.41)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 63.64%
Draw 20.16%
Colchester United 16.19%
AFC Wimbledon
2-0 @ 10.43% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 9.98% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 63.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.16%
Colchester United
0-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 16.19%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 3
Colchester
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
  • Mandela Egbo 83' yellowcard
  • Bradley Ihionvien 89' yellowcard
  • Arthur Read 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal James Tilley 54'
  • yellowcard Isaac Ogundere 65'
  • yellowcard James Tilley 67'
  • yellowcard Josh Davison 74'
  • goal James Tilley 85'
League Two Gameweek 24
Colchester
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
  • John Akinde 51' goal
  • goal Josh Davison 67'
  • goal Ethan Chislett 89'
League Two Gameweek 12
AFC Wimbledon
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Colchester
  • Josh Davison 47' goal
  • Josh Davison 66' goal
  • goal Kwesi Appiah 18'

Form Data

AFC Wimbledon 0 - 1 Sutton
Crawley 1 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
Portsmouth 2 - 5 AFC Wimbledon
Salford City 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 4 - 0 Swindon
AFC Wimbledon 5 - 0 Ramsgate
MK Dons 1 - 0 Colchester
Colchester 2 - 1 Salford City
Wrexham 2 - 1 Colchester
Colchester 1 - 2 Crawley
Colchester 0 - 4 West Ham U21s
Doncaster 3 - 1 Colchester