League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • MJ Williams 47' yellowcard
  • M. Williams 48' yellowcard
  • Jack Payne 55' yellowcard
  • Max Dean 83' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 89' goal
  • yellowcard Arthur Read 66'

MK Dons vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 3 MK Dons
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Max Dean

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Colchester 2 - 1 Salford City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Joe Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result

MK Dons 53.21% (+0.32)
Draw 23.15% (-0.06)
Colchester United 23.65% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.32% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.93% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.07% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.55% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.45% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 17.19% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.81% (+0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 83.46% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 16.54% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 53.7% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 46.3% (-0.21)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 67.47% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 32.53% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 30.94% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 69.05% (+0.25)

Score analysis

MK Dons 53.21%
Draw 23.15%
Colchester United 23.65%
MK Dons
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.68% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.71% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.87% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.22% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.35% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 53.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.15%
Colchester United
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 23.65%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Joe Taylor 10' goal
  • Joe Taylor 13' goal
  • Bradley Ihionvien 42' yellowcard
  • Jayden Fevrier 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Noah Chilvers 67' yellowcard
  • Junior Tchamadeu 81' yellowcard
  • Mandela Egbo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 8'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Eisa 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 82'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 84'
  • goal Alex Gilbey 88'
  • yellowcard Conor Grant 90'+6'
  • goal Matthew Dennis 90'+10'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium (Colchester, Essex)
  • Sammie Szmodics 2' goal
  • Frankie Kent 41' yellowcard
  • Frankie Kent 47' goal
  • Luke Norris 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieran Agard 34'
  • yellowcard Stephen Walker 87'
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • Peter Pawlett 67' yellowcard
  • Lawson D'Ath 89' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbey 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Prosser 11'
  • yellowcard Frank Nouble 88'
  • yellowcard Tom Lapslie 90'
League One
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tom Lapslie 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle McFadzean 28'
  • yellowcard Darren Potter 38'
  • goal Dele Alli 44'
League One
Nov 29, 2014 3.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Dele Alli 11' goal
  • Benik Afobe 37' goal
  • Benik Afobe 45' goal
  • Benik Afobe 58' goal
  • Ben Reeves 67' goal
  • Lee Hodson 91' goal
  • yellowcard David Fox 33'
  • yellowcard Cole Kpekawa 52'
  • redcard Will Packwood 67'
League One
Jan 1, 2014 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Darren Potter 43' yellowcard
  • Jordan Spence 66' yellowcard
  • Samir Carruthers 76' yellowcard
  • Stephen Gleeson 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Wilson 70'
  • yellowcard Marcus Bean 92'