MK Dons
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk

MK Dons
0 - 4
Brighton U21s

FT(HT: 0-0)
Chouchane (50' pen.), Knight (68'), McConville (89'), Bashir (90+2')
Duffus (72')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between MK Dons and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fulham U21s 3-0 Brighton U21s
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.17%) and 1-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
54.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)21.18%24.33% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.17% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.9% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)34.1% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.02% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)55.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)38.84% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)26.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.72% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 54.49%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 24.33%
    Draw 21.18%
MK DonsDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.39%
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 54.49%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 24.33%

Head to Head
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
MK Dons
2-3
Brighton U21s
Agard (6'), Hancox (40')
Connolly (23', 69', 76')
Barclay (63'), Tilley (77'), Connolly (90')