/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
-
James Connolly
27'
-
James Connolly
27'
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JJ McKiernan
49'
-
JJ McKiernan
49'
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JJ McKiernan
52'
-
JJ McKiernan
52'
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Jordan Slew
90'+6'
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Max Dean
31'
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Max Dean
31'
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MJ Williams
41'
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M. Williams
41'
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MJ Williams
41'
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M. Williams
41'
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Joe Tomlinson
69'
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Joe Tomlinson
69'
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Max Dean
90'+7'
Morecambe vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result
Morecambe
29.93%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
24.96%
▼
(-0.03)
MK Dons
45.11%
▲
(+0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
55.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
47.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
30.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
69.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
14.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
85.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5
70.62%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
29.39%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
34.63%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
65.37%
▲
(+0.18)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
78.99%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
21.02%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
46.2%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
53.8%
▼
(-0.17)
Score analysis
Morecambe
29.93%
Draw
24.95%
MK Dons
45.11%
Morecambe
1-0
@
7.56%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.93%
2-1 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.79%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
MK Dons
0-1
@
9.63%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 45.11%
1-2 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 45.11%