League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 3
MK Dons

McKiernan (49', 49')
Connolly (27'), Connolly (27'), McKiernan (52'), McKiernan (52'), Slew (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dean (31', 31', 90+7'), Tomlinson (69', 69')
Williams (41'), Williams (41'), Williams (41'), Williams (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Doncaster 0-5 Morecambe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	MK Dons
29.93% ( -0.21)	24.96% ( -0.02)	45.11% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 55.78% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.69% (

0.01)

47.31% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.46% (

69.54% (

-0)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.62% (

-0.14)

29.39% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.63% (

-0.17)

65.37% (

0.18)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99% (

0.11)

21.02% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.2% (

0.17)

53.8% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 29.93%

MK Dons 45.11%

Draw 24.95%

Morecambe	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.93%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.11%