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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Stockport County |
| 29.31% ( | 24.47% ( | 46.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.52% ( | 45.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.19% ( | 67.81% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( | 28.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( | 64.77% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( | 19.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.16% ( | 51.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.22% |