Middlesbrough vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.