Premier League Gameweek 31
Chelsea
Apr 4, 2024 8.15pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Stamford Bridge
Man Utd
  • Conor Gallagher 4' goal
  • Cole Palmer 19' goal
  • Malo Gusto 32' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 35' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 90'+10' goal
  • Cole Palmer 90'+11' goal
  • Moises Caicedo 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 34'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 39'
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 67'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 90'+13'

Chelsea vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 2 Burnley
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2024 8.00pm
Brentford 1 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 58.25% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 19.72% ▲ (+0.16)
Manchester United 22.03% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.6% ▼ (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.33% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 2.5 29.67% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 3.5 49.2% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 3.5 50.8% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 4.5 30.01% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 4.5 69.99% ▲ (+0.63)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 89.77% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 10.23% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 66.44% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 1.5 33.56% ▲ (+0.57)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 74.2% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 25.81% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 39.24% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 60.76% ▲ (+0.29)

Score analysis

Chelsea 58.25%
Draw 19.72%
Manchester United 22.03%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.05)
4-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 58.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 19.72%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 22.03%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 15
Man Utd
Dec 6, 2023 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Old Trafford
Chelsea
  • Luke Shaw 14' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 19' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 22' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 69' goal
  • Diogo Dalot 82' yellowcard
  • Sergio Reguilon 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Cole Palmer 45'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Man Utd
May 25, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Casemiro 6' goal
  • Anthony Martial 45'+6' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 73' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 78' goal
  • goal Joao Felix 89'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Chelsea
Oct 22, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Jorginho 87' goal
  • goal Casemiro 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Man Utd
Apr 28, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 62' goal
  • goal Marcos Alonso 60'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 87'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Chelsea
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Reece James 53' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 69' goal
  • Thomas Tuchel 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 45'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 49'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 50'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 77'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Eric Bailly 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Chelsea
Feb 28, 2021 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Ben Chilwell 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fred 50'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 79'

Form Data

Chelsea 2 - 2 Burnley
Chelsea 4 - 2 Leicester
Chelsea 3 - 2 Newcastle
Brentford 2 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 2 Leeds
Chelsea 0 - 1 Liverpool
Brentford 1 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 4 - 3 Liverpool
Man Utd 2 - 0 Everton
Man City 3 - 1 Man Utd
Nott'm Forest 0 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 1 - 2 Fulham

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