Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 54.11% ( | 23.96% ( | 21.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( | 49.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( | 71.44% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% ( | 18.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.85% ( | 49.14% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( | 37.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.15% ( | 73.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.11% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.92% |