Premier League Gameweek 26
Chelsea
May 2, 2024 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Spurs
  • Trevoh Chalobah 24' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 72' goal
  • yellowcard Mickey van de Ven 67'

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 8.00pm
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Chelsea
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 2.00pm
Spurs 2 - 3 Arsenal
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Son Heung-min

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.62%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 20.6% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (5.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 60.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 18.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Tottenham Hotspur 20.6% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.02% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 26.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 52.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 47.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 33.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 66.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 91.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 8.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 69.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5 74.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.36%
Over 1.5 39.85%
Under 1.5 60.15%

Score analysis

Chelsea 60.62%
Draw 18.78%
Tottenham Hotspur 20.6%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 60.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.78%
Tottenham Hotspur
1-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.08%
Total : 20.6%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 11
Spurs
Nov 6, 2023 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Chelsea
  • Dejan Kulusevski 6' goal
  • Destiny Udogie 18' yellowcard
  • Cristian Romero 33' redcard
  • Ange Postecoglou 41' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Destiny Udogie 55' redcard
  • goal Cole Palmer 35'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 45'+10'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 45'+10'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 75'
  • yellowcard Malo Gusto 86'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 89'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Lesley Ugochukwu 90'+4'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Spurs
Feb 26, 2023 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Oliver Skipp 46' goal
  • Harry Kane 82' goal
Premier League Gameweek 2
Chelsea
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Spurs
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 19' goal
  • Reece James 41' yellowcard
  • Edouard Mendy 62' yellowcard
  • Thomas Tuchel 71' yellowcard
  • Reece James 77' goal
  • Kai Havertz 86' yellowcard
  • Thomas Tuchel 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 68'
  • yellowcard Antonio Conte 70'
  • goal Harry Kane 90'+6'
  • redcard Antonio Conte 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Chelsea
Jan 23, 2022 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Spurs
  • Thiago Silva 24' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 42' yellowcard
  • Hakim Ziyech 47' goal
  • Thiago Silva 55' goal
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 37'
EFL Cup
Spurs
Jan 12, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Chelsea
  • goal Antonio Rudiger 18'
EFL Cup
Chelsea
Jan 5, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Spurs
  • Kai Havertz 5' goal
  • Ben Davies 34' goal
  • Malang Sarr 62' yellowcard

Form Data

Aston Villa 2 - 2 Chelsea
Arsenal 5 - 0 Chelsea
Man City 1 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 6 - 0 Everton
Sheff Utd 2 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 4 - 3 Man Utd
Spurs 2 - 3 Arsenal
Newcastle 4 - 0 Spurs
Spurs 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
West Ham 1 - 1 Spurs
Spurs 2 - 1 Luton
Fulham 3 - 0 Spurs

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