Premier League Gameweek 29
Arsenal
Apr 23, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Chelsea
  • Leandro Trossard 4' goal
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 45' yellowcard
  • Ben White 52' goal
  • Kai Havertz 57' goal
  • Kai Havertz 65' goal
  • Ben White 70' goal
  • Ben White 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfie Gilchrist 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 43'

Arsenal vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 7.30pm
Wolves 0 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Bukayo Saka

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2024 8.00pm
Chelsea 6 - 0 Everton
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 66.75%
Draw 18.06%
Chelsea 15.19% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 33.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 44.9%
Under 3.5 55.1%
Over 4.5 26.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 73.79%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 90.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 9.26%
Over 1.5 68.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 31.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 65.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Arsenal 66.75%
Draw 18.06%
Chelsea 15.19%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.64%
3-0 @ 7.25%
4-1 @ 4.54%
4-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 4.03%
4-2 @ 2.4%
5-1 @ 2.16%
5-0 @ 2.05%
5-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 66.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 5.08%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 18.06%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.4%
0-2 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.78%
1-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 15.19%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 9
Chelsea
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Arsenal
  • Cole Palmer 8' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 15' goal
  • Thiago Silva 44' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 48' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Arteta 9'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 11'
  • goal Declan Rice 77'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 84'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nketiah 89'
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Arsenal
May 2, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Martin Odegaard 18' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 31' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 34' goal
  • goal Noni Madueke 65'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Chelsea
Nov 6, 2022 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 63'
Club Friendlies 1
Arsenal
Jul 24, 2022 1.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Gabriel Jesus 15' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 36' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 61' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 66' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 78' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 90' goal
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 50'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 77'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 77'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 90'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Chelsea
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Arsenal
  • Timo Werner 17' goal
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 32' goal
  • Malang Sarr 65' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 84' yellowcard
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 13'
  • goal Emile Smith Rowe 27'
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 57'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Magalhaes 90'+1'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Arsenal
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Chelsea
  • Pablo Mari 34' yellowcard
  • Rob Holding 45' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 67' yellowcard
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 15'
  • goal Reece James 35'

Form Data

Wolves 0 - 2 Arsenal
Bayern 1 - 0 Arsenal
Arsenal 0 - 2 Aston Villa
Arsenal 2 - 2 Bayern
Brighton 0 - 3 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 0 Luton
Man City 1 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 6 - 0 Everton
Sheff Utd 2 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 4 - 3 Man Utd
Chelsea 2 - 2 Burnley
Chelsea 4 - 2 Leicester

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
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