Champions League
Bayern
Apr 17, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
Arsenal
  • Konrad Laimer 54' yellowcard
  • Joshua Kimmich 63' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 84'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 90'+3'

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
Arsenal 2 - 2 Bayern

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
Arsenal 2 - 2 Bayern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 49.94% ▲ (+1.50)
Draw 23.49% ▼ (-0.40)
Arsenal 26.56% ▼ (-1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.22% ▲ (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.04% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 2.5 42.96% ▼ (-0.96)
Over 3.5 34.64% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 3.5 65.36% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 4.5 18% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 4.5 82% ▼ (-0.70)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 82.68% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 0.5 17.32% ▼ (-0.95)
Over 1.5 52.31% ▲ (+1.63)
Under 1.5 47.69% ▼ (-1.63)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 70.42% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 29.58% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 34.39% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 65.61% ▲ (+0.40)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 49.94%
Draw 23.49%
Arsenal 26.57%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.17)
4-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.16)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 49.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.49%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.20)
0-1 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.33)
0-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.24)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 26.57%

Head to Head

Champions League
Arsenal
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Emirates Stadium
Bayern
  • Bukayo Saka 12' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 76' goal
  • Thomas Partey 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 9'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 18'
  • goal Harry Kane 32'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 55'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Arsenal
Jul 18, 2019 4.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
  • Louis Poznanski 49' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 88' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 71'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Bayern
Jul 19, 2017 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Shanghai Stadium
Arsenal
  • Robert Lewandowski 9' goal
  • Javi Martinez 22' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francis Coquelin 20'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Elneny 59'
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 84'
  • goal Alex Iwobi 93'
Champions League
Arsenal
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 1 0
FT
Bayern
  • Theo Walcott 20' goal
  • Theo Walcott 39' yellowcard
  • Laurent Koscielny 54' redcard
  • Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 61' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Alaba 39'
  • yellowcard Javi Martinez 45'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 55'
  • goal Arjen Robben 68'
  • goal Douglas Costa 78'
  • goal Arturo Vidal 80'
  • goal Arturo Vidal 85'
Champions League
Bayern
Feb 15, 2017 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Arsenal
  • Arjen Robben 11' goal
  • Mats Hummels 26' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 53' goal
  • Thiago Alcantara 56' goal
  • Thiago Alcantara 63' goal
  • Philipp Lahm 83' yellowcard
  • Thomas Muller 88' goal
  • yellowcard Shkodran Mustafi 15'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 30'
  • yellowcard Alexis Sanchez 33'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 60'
Champions League
Bayern
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Robert Lewandowski 10' goal
  • Thomas Muller 29' goal
  • David Alaba 44' goal
  • Arjen Robben 55' goal
  • Thomas Muller 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mesut Ozil 12'
  • yellowcard Joel Campbell 24'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 69'

Form Data

Bayern 2 - 0 FC Koln
Arsenal 2 - 2 Bayern
Heidenheim 3 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 0 - 2 Dortmund
Darmstadt 2 - 5 Bayern
Bayern 8 - 1 Mainz
Arsenal 0 - 2 Aston Villa
Arsenal 2 - 2 Bayern
Brighton 0 - 3 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 0 Luton
Man City 0 - 0 Arsenal
Arsenal 1 - 0 Porto

Build-up

News
News
News