/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fkollog.png)
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Raphael Guerreiro
65'
-
Thomas Muller
90'+3'
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Jacob Christensen
5'
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Linton Maina
30'
-
Sargis Adamyan
36'
Bayern Munich vs FC Koln - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F15%2Fbayhar.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Bayern Munich
81.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
11.41%
▼
(-0.01)
FC Koln
7.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
57.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
77.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
22.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
58.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
41.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
39.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
60.92%
▼
(-0.02)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
95.85%
Under 0.5
4.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
82.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
17.34%
▼
(-0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5
60.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
39.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
23.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
76.6%
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
81.26%
Draw
11.41%
FC Koln
7.33%
Bayern Munich
3-0
@
8.9%
2-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.17%
2-1 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75%
4-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
6-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 5.29%
Total : 81.26%
2-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.17%
2-1 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75%
4-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
6-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 5.29%
Total : 81.26%
Draw
1-1
@
4.84%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 11.41%
2-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 11.41%
FC Koln
1-2
@
2.22%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 7.33%
0-1 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 7.33%