/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
-
Konrad Laimer
5'
-
Harry Kane
13'
-
Leon Goretzka
19'
-
Thomas Muller
47'
-
Harry Kane
45'+7'
-
Jamal Musiala
61'
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Serge Gnabry
66'
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Harry Kane
70'
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Leon Goretzka
90'+2'
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Nadiem Amiri
31'
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Silvan Widmer
84'
Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F10%2Fharry-kane.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.07%) and 4-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Bayern Munich
82.44%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
11.53%
▼
(-0.05)
Mainz 05
6.03%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
47.9%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.6%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
29.4%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
49.53%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
50.47%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
30.31%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 4.5
69.69%
▼
(-0.12)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
94.74%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
5.26%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
79.25%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
20.75%
▼
(-0.10)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
50.56%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
49.44%
Over 1.5
15.74%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
84.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
82.43%
Draw
11.53%
Mainz 05
6.03%
Bayern Munich
2-0
@
11.27%
▼
(-0.02)
3-0 @ 11.07% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75%
6-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 82.43%
3-0 @ 11.07% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75%
6-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 82.43%
Draw
1-1
@
5.39%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 11.53%
2-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 11.53%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
1.9%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 6.03%
0-1 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 6.03%