/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
-
Maximilian Mittelstadt
45'+2'
-
Jamie Leweling
45'+4'
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Deniz Undav
73'
-
Atakan Karazor
82'
-
Ludovic Ajorque
76'
-
Josuha Guilavogui
84'
Stuttgart vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result
Stuttgart
56.4%
▼
(-0.41)
Draw
22.14%
▲
(+0.13)
Mainz 05
21.45%
▲
(+0.29)
Both Teams to Score:
56.78%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.91%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 2.5
42.08%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
35.51%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
64.49%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 4.5
18.65%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
81.35%
▲
(+0.15)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5
85.24%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
14.76%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
57%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 1.5
42.99%
▲
(+0.38)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
66.61%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
33.39%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
29.98%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
70.01%
▼
(-0.19)
Score analysis
Stuttgart
56.4%
Draw
22.14%
Mainz 05
21.45%
Stuttgart
2-1
@
9.89%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.4%
1-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.4%
Draw
1-1
@
10.34%
▲
(+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.14%
2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.14%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
5.67%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 21.45%
0-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 21.45%