Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Mainz
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT OPEL ARENA
Wolfsburg
  • Silvan Widmer 3' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 46' yellowcard
  • Edimilson Fernandes 56' yellowcard
  • Silvan Widmer 61' goal
  • goal Vaclav Cerny 12'
  • yellowcard Aster Vranckx 16'
  • yellowcard Moritz Jenz 27'
  • yellowcard Koen Casteels 54'
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 79'

Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2023 7.30pm
Dortmund 1 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Wolfsburg 1 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jonas Wind

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Mainz 05 30.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 24.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Wolfsburg 44.69% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.51% ▲ (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.77% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 45.23% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 32.43% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 67.57% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 16.38% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 4.5 83.62% ▼ (-0.23)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 72.2% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 0.5 27.8% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 1.5 36.61% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 63.39% ▼ (-0.27)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 79.66% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 20.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 47.27% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 52.73% ▼ (-0.23)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 30.73%
Draw 24.57%
Wolfsburg 44.69%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.50)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.57%
Wolfsburg
1-2 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.69%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Mainz
  • Jonas Wind 5' goal
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 13' goal
  • Jonas Wind 28' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Mainz
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Wolfsburg
  • goal Patrick Wimmer 33'
  • goal Maximilian Arnold 70'
  • goal Bote Baku 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
5
0
HT : 5 0
FT
Mainz
  • Jonas Wind 8' goal
  • Max Kruse 24' goal
  • Max Kruse 35' goal
  • Jonas Wind 42' goal
  • Max Kruse 45'+2' goal
  • redcard Niklas Tauer 23'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 81'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Mainz
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Jonathan Burkardt 2' goal
  • Anton Stach 4' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 78' yellowcard
  • Maxence Lacroix 90' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Mbabu 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Mainz
  • Maximilian Philipp 47' goal
  • Maximilian Arnold 51' yellowcard
  • Xaver Schlager 56' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 66' goal
  • Maximilian Philipp 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 29'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 40'
  • goal Jean-Paul Boetius 44'
  • goal Robin Quaison 54'
  • yellowcard Jean-Paul Boetius 61'
  • goal Stefan Bell 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Mainz
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Jean-Paul Boetius 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximilian Philipp 53'
  • goal Bartosz Bialek 65'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 79'
  • yellowcard Josuha Guilavogui 90'+2'

Form Data

Feyenoord 1 - 2 Mainz
Dortmund 1 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 1 Heidenheim
FC Koln 0 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 1 Freiburg
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Mainz
Wolfsburg 1 - 2 Bayern
Darmstadt 0 - 1 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 0 - 1 Freiburg
Borussia M'bach 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
VfL Bochum 3 - 1 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 2 - 1 RB Leipzig