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Bundesliga

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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Wolfsburg

Mainz
1 - 1
Wolfsburg

Widmer (61')
Widmer (3'), van den Berg (46'), Fernandes (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cerny (12')
Vranckx (16'), Jenz (27'), Casteels (54'), Svanberg (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Mainz
Saturday, January 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayern
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
30.73% (0.053000000000001 0.05)24.57% (-0.066999999999997 -0.07)44.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.51% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (0.327 0.33)45.23% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (0.312 0.31)67.57% (-0.316 -0.32)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.199 0.2)27.8% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.257 0.26)63.39% (-0.261 -0.26)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (0.137 0.14)20.34% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27% (0.22 0.22)52.73% (-0.224 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 30.73%
    Wolfsburg 44.69%
    Draw 24.57%
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.81% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.69%

How you voted: Mainz vs Wolfsburg

Mainz 05
30.8%
Draw
34.6%
Wolfsburg
34.6%
26
Head to Head
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Wolfsburg
3-0
Mainz
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Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-3
Wolfsburg
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
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Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
5-0
Mainz
Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')
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Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Mainz
3-0
Wolfsburg
Burkardt (2'), Stach (4'), Lacroix (90' og.)
Barreiro (78')

Mbabu (82')
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May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-3
Mainz
Philipp (47'), Victor (66')
Arnold (51'), Schlager (56'), Philipp (75')
Boetius (44'), Quaison (54'), Bell (77')
Barreiro (29'), Bell (40'), Boetius (61')
> Preview