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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Mainz
1 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Burkardt (12')
Barreiro (50'), Henriksen (57'), Kohr (58'), Mwene (81'), Amiri (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
N'Goumou (55')
N'Goumou (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Mainz
Friday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
54.72% (-0.182 -0.18)22.05% (0.188 0.19)23.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.57% (-0.667 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (-0.878 -0.88)39.54% (0.889 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12% (-0.922 -0.92)61.88% (0.933 0.93)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (-0.352 -0.35)14.43% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.64% (-0.699 -0.7)42.36% (0.711 0.71)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (-0.482 -0.48)30.39% (0.493 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (-0.583 -0.58)66.59% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 54.72%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 23.23%
    Draw 22.05%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 54.72%
1-1 @ 10.11% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.179 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.22% (0.145 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 23.23%

How you voted: Mainz vs Borussia M'bach

Mainz 05
29.6%
Draw
48.1%
Borussia Monchengladbach
22.2%
27
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Borussia M'bach
2-2
Mainz
Neuhaus (22'), Scally (88')
Itakura (56'), Kone (81'), Hack (82')
Gruda (24'), Barkok (75')
Bell (66')
Feb 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
4-0
Borussia M'bach
Jae-sung (25'), Ingvartsen (49'), Ajorque (72'), Weiper (90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 28
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Mainz
Embolo (33')
Embolo (10'), Ginter (28')
Onisiwo (73')
Barreiro (40')
Nov 5, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Mainz
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Widmer (76')
Jae-sung (31'), Bell (45'), Boetius (53')
Neuhaus (38')
Elvedi (22'), Kone (64'), Bensebaini (70')