Champions League
Mar 5, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Harry Kane 39' goal
  • Thomas Muller 45'+2' goal
  • Harry Kane 66' goal
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 80'
  • yellowcard Danilo Cataldi 89'
  • yellowcard Luca Pellegrini 90'+2'

Bayern Munich vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 14, 2024 8.00pm
Lazio 1 - 0 Bayern

Lazio

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 14, 2024 8.00pm
Lazio 1 - 0 Bayern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 69.01% (+0.01)
Draw 17.92% (-0.01)
Lazio 13.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.51% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.29% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.7% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.05% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 59.94% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 22.18% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 77.81% (-0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 90.1%
Under 0.5 9.9% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 67.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 32.79% (-0.01)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 59.39%
Under 0.5 40.61% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.79% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 77.21% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 69.01%
Draw 17.92%
Lazio 13.07%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 4.79%
4-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 3.37%
5-0 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.88%
Total : 69.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.38% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37%
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.92%
Lazio
1-2 @ 3.78%
0-1 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 13.07%

Head to Head

Champions League
Feb 14, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Ciro Immobile 69' goal
  • redcard Dayot Upamecano 67'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 68'
Champions League
Mar 17, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robert Lewandowski 33' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 48' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 73' goal
  • yellowcard Stefan Radu 26'
  • yellowcard Francesco Acerbi 31'
  • yellowcard Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 38'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 70'
  • goal Marco Parolo 82'
Champions League
Feb 23, 2021 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Luis Alberto 28' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Correa 49' goal
  • Lucas Leiva 51' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Correa 57' yellowcard
  • Adam Marusic 65' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Escalante 69' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 9'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 24'
  • goal Leroy Sane 42'
  • goal Francesco Acerbi 47' (OG)
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 72'
  • yellowcard Kingsley Coman 75'