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Bayern logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Lazio logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Lazio

Kane (39', 66'), Muller (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romagnoli (80'), Cataldi (89'), Pellegrini (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Harry Kane scores twice as Bayern Munich recover from a 1-0 first-leg defeat to beat Lazio in the Champions League last 16.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawLazio
69.01% (0.00099999999999056 0) 17.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 13.07%
Both teams to score 53.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.94% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1%9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39%40.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 69.01%
    Lazio 13.07%
    Draw 17.92%
Bayern MunichDrawLazio
2-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 4.79%
4-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 3.37%
5-0 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.88%
Total : 69.01%
1-1 @ 8.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.92%
1-2 @ 3.78%
0-1 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 13.07%

How you voted: Bayern vs Lazio

Bayern Munich
72.3%
Draw
14.8%
Lazio
13.0%
393
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Lazio
1-0
Bayern
Immobile (69' pen.)

Kimmich (68')
Upamecano (67')
Mar 17, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Bayern
2-1
Lazio
Lewandowski (33' pen.), Maxim Choupo-Moting (73')
Goretzka (48')
Parolo (82')
Radu (26'), Acerbi (31'), Milinkovic-Savic (38'), Correa (70')
Feb 23, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Lazio
1-4
Bayern
Correa (49')
Alberto (28'), Leiva (51'), Correa (57'), Marusic (65'), Escalante (69')
Lewandowski (9'), Musiala (24'), Sane (42'), Acerbi (47' og.)
Kimmich (72'), Coman (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool33228375324374
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33127144653-743
12Fulham34126165054-442
13Bournemouth33119134860-1242
14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton33108153448-1430
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3337233188-5716


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