Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
38.22% | 27.16% | 34.62% |
Both teams to score 50.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.91% ( 0) | 55.09% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.65% ( 0) | 76.35% ( -0) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( 0) | 27.97% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.39% | 63.61% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% | 30.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% ( 0) | 66.32% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |