Serie A Gameweek 26
AC Milan
Feb 25, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta
  • Rafael Leao 3' goal
  • Stefano Pioli 40' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 42'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 44'
  • yellowcard Emil Holm 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 56'
  • yellowcard Ederson 90'+4'

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2024 7.45pm
Monza 4 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2024 7.45pm
Atalanta 3 - 0 Sassuolo
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Gianluca Scamacca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

AC Milan 44.52% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 26.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Atalanta BC 29.23% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.24% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.97% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 53.03% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 25.38% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 74.62% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 11.6% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 88.4% ▼ (-0.12)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 76.28% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 23.71% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 42.16% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 57.84% ▼ (-0.23)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 67.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 32.83% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 30.6% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 69.4% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

AC Milan 44.51%
Draw 26.24%
Atalanta BC 29.23%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.2% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.24%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.23%

Head to Head

Coppa Italia
AC Milan
Jan 10, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta
  • Rafael Leao 45' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 57' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 80' yellowcard
  • Antonio Mirante 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Gian Piero Gasperini 38'
  • redcard Gian Piero Gasperini 38'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 45'+2'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 59'
  • yellowcard Ederson 90'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Atalanta
Dec 9, 2023 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
AC Milan
  • Ademola Lookman 38' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 55' goal
  • Ederson 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Muriel 90'+5' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 71'
  • goal Luka Jovic 80'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 80'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 88'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 90'+2'
  • redcard Davide Calabria 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 24
AC Milan
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta
  • Juan Musso 25' goal
  • Junior Messias 86' goal
Serie A Gameweek 2
Atalanta
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
AC Milan
  • Rafael Toloi 16' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 29' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 48' yellowcard
  • Berat Djimsiti 78' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefano Pioli 23'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 45'+1'
  • goal Ismael Bennacer 68'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 75'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 78'
Serie A Gameweek 37
AC Milan
May 15, 2022 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atalanta
  • Olivier Giroud 44' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 56' goal
  • Franck Kessie 67' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 75' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Teun Koopmeiners 53'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 87'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Atalanta
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
AC Milan
  • Marten de Roon 40' yellowcard
  • Duvan Zapata 86' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 90'+4' goal
  • goal Davide Calabria 1'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 42'
  • goal Sandro Tonali 43'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 52'
  • goal Rafael Leao 78'
  • yellowcard Junior Messias 85'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 88'
  • yellowcard Stefano Pioli 90'+4'

Form Data

Rennes 3 - 2 AC Milan
Monza 4 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 3 - 0 Rennes
AC Milan 1 - 0 Napoli
Frosinone 2 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna
Atalanta 3 - 0 Sassuolo
Genoa 1 - 4 Atalanta
Atalanta 3 - 1 Lazio
Atalanta 2 - 0 Udinese
Atalanta 5 - 0 Frosinone
AC Milan 1 - 2 Atalanta