Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan1 - 1Atalanta
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rennes 3-2 AC Milan
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 2-2 Atalanta BC
Atalanta (10) and Milan (12) are the only two Serie A sides to have scored at least 10 goals via substitutes this season, so late inspiration could well come from the bench in a close-fought contest. The points may be split at the final whistle, which would maintain the Rossoneri's grip on third spot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
44.52% ( 0.25) | 26.25% ( 0.01) | 29.23% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
