Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 4
Atalanta

Malinovskyi (51')
Strootman (24'), Bani (54'), Caricol (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

De Ketelaere (22'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (90+10'), Bilal Toure (90+13')
De Ketelaere (24'), Kolasinac (32'), de Roon (90+2'), Miranchuk (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Genoa
Saturday, February 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, February 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Atalanta BC
36.4% ( -0.13)	28.4% ( 0.08)	35.2% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 46.61% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.29% (

-0.28)

59.71% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.98% (

-0.21)

80.02% (

0.21)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66% (

-0.22)

31.35% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29% (

-0.26)

67.71% (

0.26)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.89% (

-0.11)

32.11% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.41% (

-0.13)

68.59% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Genoa 36.39%

Atalanta BC 35.2%

Draw 28.39%

Genoa	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.39%	1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.39%	0-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.2%