Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Genoa |
| 34.04% ( | 28.02% ( | 37.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.57% ( | 58.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.98% ( | 79.02% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( | 32.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( | 68.72% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( | 29.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.17% ( | 65.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.04% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0-0 @ 9.59% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.94% |