Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT RheinEnergieStadion
  • Jan Thielmann 14' redcard
  • Dejan Ljubicic 16' yellowcard
  • Eric Martel 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 23'
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 37'
  • yellowcard Josip Stanisic 59'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 73'

FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 2.30pm
Stuttgart 1 - 1 FC Koln
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Davie Selke

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2024 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

FC Koln 18.88% (-1.12)
Draw 21.84% (-0.10)
Bayer Leverkusen 59.28% (+1.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.58% (-1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.69% (-1.21)
Under 2.5 44.31% (+1.21)
Over 3.5 33.31% (-1.18)
Under 3.5 66.68% (+1.18)
Over 4.5 17.02% (-0.87)
Under 4.5 82.97% (+0.87)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5 62.72% (-1.88)
Under 0.5 37.27% (+1.88)
Over 1.5 25.94% (-1.91)
Under 1.5 74.06% (+1.91)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 85.42% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.58% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 57.34% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 42.65% (+0.03)

Score analysis

FC Koln 18.88%
Draw 21.83%
Bayer Leverkusen 59.27%
FC Koln
1-0 @ 5.36% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.1% (-0.27)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 1.68% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.18)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.83%
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1 @ 10.46% (+0.53)
0-2 @ 10.07% (+0.51)
1-2 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.47% (+0.33)
1-3 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.17)
0-4 @ 3.11% (+0.16)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.09)
0-5 @ 1.2% (+0.06)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 59.27%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
  • Jonas Hofmann 22' goal
  • Jeremie Frimpong 23' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 32' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Tah 61' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 66' yellowcard
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 67' goal
  • yellowcard Steffen Baumgart 24'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
May 5, 2023 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Amine Adli 28' goal
  • goal Davie Selke 14'
  • goal Davie Selke 36'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Benno Schmitz 30' goal
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 65'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 71'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2022 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Exequiel Palacios 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kerem Demirbay 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellyes Skhiri 52'
  • yellowcard Benno Schmitz 65'
  • goal Kingsley Schindler 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 24, 2021 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Mark Uth 36' yellowcard
  • Anthony Modeste 63' goal
  • Anthony Modeste 82' goal
  • goal Patrik Schick 15'
  • goal Karim Bellarabi 17'
  • yellowcard Kerem Demirbay 43'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diaby 65'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leon Bailey 5' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 40' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 51' goal
  • Leon Bailey 76' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Czichos 90'