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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 36.56% ( | 24.29% ( | 39.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.69% ( | 42.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( | 64.71% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( | 22.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% ( | 56.76% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( | 21.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% ( | 54.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 3-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.15% |