Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.