Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.