Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
0 - 2
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-1)

Adeyemi (10'), Ryerson (83')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Karim Adeyemi and Julian Ryerson secure a 2-0 victory for Borussia Dortmund in Der Klassiker, leaving Bayern Munich's title ambitions in severe jeopardy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Darmstadt 2-5 Bayern
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 17 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
69.07% ( 0)	16.59%	14.34% ( -0)

Both teams to score 62.79% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.18% (

-0.01)

27.81% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.49% (

-0.01)

48.51% (

0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.65% (

-0)

7.34% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.48% (

-0)

26.52% (

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.76% (

-0.01)

32.24% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.27% (

-0.01)

68.73% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 69.07%

Borussia Dortmund 14.34%

Draw 16.59%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.95% 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.5% Total : 69.07%	1-1 @ 7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.59%	1-2 @ 3.96% 0-1 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-2 @ 1.52% 1-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.73% Total : 14.34%