Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
Mar 9, 2024 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Weserstadion
Dortmund
  • Justin Njinmah 70' goal
  • Romano Schmid 77' yellowcard
  • goal Donyell Malen 21'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 38'
  • redcard Marcel Sabitzer 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 78'
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 90'+5'

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2024 4.30pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Union Berlin 0 - 2 Dortmund
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result

Werder Bremen 26.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 21.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Borussia Dortmund 52% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.74% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 34.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 43.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 56.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 25.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 74.72% ▲ (+0.01)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 74.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 86.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 59.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 40.5% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Werder Bremen 26.36%
Draw 21.63%
Borussia Dortmund 52%
Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 6.47%
1-0 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.98%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.63%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-2 @ 6.81%
0-1 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.28%
0-3 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.15%
0-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.26%
Other @ 4.98%
Total : 52%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Dortmund
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Werder Bremen
  • Felix Nmecha 44' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 67' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bittencourt 61'
  • yellowcard Jens Stage 75'
  • yellowcard Milos Veljkovic 83'
  • yellowcard Olivier Deman 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Marvin Ducksch 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Werder Bremen
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Dortmund
  • goal Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 67'
  • goal Julian Brandt 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Dortmund
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Werder Bremen
  • Anthony Modeste 39' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 42' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 45'+2' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 77' goal
  • Marius Wolf 83' yellowcard
  • Marco Reus 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niclas Fullkrug 29'
  • goal Lee Buchanan 89'
  • goal Niklas Schmidt 90'+3'
  • goal Oliver Burke 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Dortmund
Apr 18, 2021 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Werder Bremen
  • Giovanni Reyna 29' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 34' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 38' goal
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 48' yellowcard
  • Mats Hummels 87' goal
  • goal Milot Rashica 14'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 60'
  • yellowcard Milos Veljkovic 66'
  • yellowcard Christian Gross 77'
  • yellowcard Niklas Moisander 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Werder Bremen
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Dortmund
  • Kevin Mohwald 28' goal
  • Christian Gross 54' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 87' yellowcard
  • Romano Schmid 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Raphael Guerreiro 12'
  • yellowcard Marco Reus 35'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 60'
  • goal Marco Reus 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Werder Bremen
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Weserstadion
Dortmund
  • goal Dan-Axel Zagadou 52'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 66'

Form Data

Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 1 - 1 Darmstadt
FC Koln 0 - 1 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Heidenheim
Mainz 0 - 1 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 3 - 1 Freiburg
Union Berlin 0 - 2 Dortmund
Dortmund 2 - 3 Hoffenheim
PSV 1 - 1 Dortmund
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Dortmund
Dortmund 3 - 0 Freiburg
Heidenheim 0 - 0 Dortmund