Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.