Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.