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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Heidenheim

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Heidenheim

Schmid (19')
Deman (45')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Maloney (12'), Beste (18')
Kleindienst (2'), Maloney (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 Dortmund
Friday, February 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHeidenheim
45.25% (-0.127 -0.13)23.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)30.79% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 59.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)42.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)64.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)18.95% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.54% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)50.46% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (0.064000000000007 0.06)26.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (0.085000000000001 0.09)61.5% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 45.25%
    Heidenheim 30.79%
    Draw 23.95%
Werder BremenDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 45.25%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.79%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Heidenheim

Werder Bremen
77.3%
Draw
9.1%
Heidenheim
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Heidenheim
4-2
Werder Bremen
Kleindienst (5' pen.), Dinkci (44', 68'), Beste (76')
Omar Traore (50')
Ducksch (49'), Weiser (64')
Stark (90+5')
Mar 12, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 26
Heidenheim
2-1
Werder Bremen
Kuhlwetter (39'), Schimmer (63')
Sessa (59'), Muller (89'), Kleindienst (90+2')
Busch (87')
Ducksch (89')
Rapp (76'), Jung (80')
Oct 1, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Werder Bremen
3-0
Heidenheim
Friedl (50'), Ducksch (52'), Thomalla (64' og.)
Jul 6, 2020 7.30pm
Jul 2, 2020 7.30pm
Finals
Werder Bremen
0-0
Heidenheim
Moisander (17'), Osako (34'), Bittencourt (71')
Moisander (87')
Multhaup (35'), Beermann (75')