/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
-
Hirving Lozano
22'
-
Luuk de Jong
56'
-
Donyell Malen
24'
-
Ian Maatsen
42'
-
Nico Schlotterbeck
45'+1'
PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Fluuk-de-jong.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result
PSV Eindhoven
55.69%
▼
(-1.29)
Draw
19.98%
▲
(+0.46)
Borussia Dortmund
24.32%
▲
(+0.84)
Both Teams to Score:
68.78%
▼
(-0.70)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.83%
▼
(-1.30)
Under 2.5
28.16%
▲
(+1.30)
Over 3.5
51.05%
▼
(-1.63)
Under 3.5
48.94%
▲
(+1.63)
Over 4.5
31.71%
▼
(-1.53)
Under 4.5
68.28%
▲
(+1.53)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
89.6%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 0.5
10.4%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 1.5
66.06%
▼
(-1.67)
Under 1.5
33.94%
▲
(+1.67)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
76.76%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
23.24%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
42.84%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
57.15%
▲
(+0.23)
Score analysis
PSV Eindhoven
55.69%
Draw
19.98%
Borussia Dortmund
24.32%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1
@
9.03%
▲
(+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.21)
4-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.15)
4-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.09)
5-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.69%
3-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.21)
4-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.15)
4-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.09)
5-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.69%
Draw
1-1
@
7.98%
▲
(+0.34)
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.98%
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.98%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
5.83%
▲
(+0.22)
0-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 24.32%