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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Malen (21'), Schlotterbeck (25')
Sabitzer (45'), Malen (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bebou (2'), Beier (61', 64')
Tohumcu (24'), Brooks (90+3'), Geiger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hoffenheim

Dortmund may have drawn three of their last four competitive matches, but they have won each of their previous six meetings with Hoffenheim, and we think that they will do enough to beat a side that have lost four of their last five away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
67.69% (0.32299999999999 0.32) 16.83% (-0.129 -0.13) 15.48% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 65% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.59% (0.247 0.25)26.41% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.26% (0.313 0.31)46.74% (-0.315 -0.31)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.74% (0.126 0.13)7.26% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.7% (0.327 0.33)26.3% (-0.328 -0.33)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)29.91% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)66.01% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 67.69%
    Hoffenheim 15.48%
    Draw 16.83%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.88% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.7% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 5.17% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.76% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.28% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 3.12% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.71% (0.042 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.25% (0.039 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.19% (0.026 0.03)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 67.69%
1-1 @ 6.87% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 16.83%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 2.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 15.48%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
93.9%
Draw
4.5%
Hoffenheim
1.5%
66
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen00000000
2Borussia DortmundDortmund00000000
3Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach00000000
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt00000000
5Augsburg00000000
6Bayern MunichBayern00000000
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin00000000
8Mainz 05Mainz00000000
9Heidenheim00000000
10Holstein Kiel00000000
11RB Leipzig00000000
12Freiburg00000000
13St Pauli00000000
14Hoffenheim00000000
15Stuttgart00000000
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum00000000
17Wolfsburg00000000
18Werder Bremen00000000


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