Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.