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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
48.23% ( -0.07) | 23.06% ( -0.21) | 28.71% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 61.55% ( 0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.64% ( 1.2) | 39.36% ( -1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.3% ( 1.24) | 61.7% ( -1.23) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.4% ( 0.43) | 16.6% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.59% ( 0.76) | 46.41% ( -0.75) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% ( 0.8) | 26.2% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.7% ( 1.06) | 61.3% ( -1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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