Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Ben White 36' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 45' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 14'
  • goal Leon Bailey 84'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 87'

Arsenal vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
Brighton 0 - 3 Arsenal
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Bukayo Saka

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
Aston Villa 3 - 3 Brentford
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 67.29% (-0.21)
Draw 18.34% (+0.15)
Aston Villa 14.37% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.74% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.38% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 36.62% (+0.59)
Over 3.5 41.22% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 58.78% (+0.64)
Over 4.5 23.13% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 76.87% (+0.53)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 89.97% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 10.02% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 66.92% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 33.08% (+0.49)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 61.94% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 38.05% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 25.18% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 74.82% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Arsenal 67.29%
Draw 18.34%
Aston Villa 14.37%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 10.09% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.75% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.77% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 7.74% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.3% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 2.05% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.06)
Other @ 5%
Total : 67.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.48% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.82% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.34%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 4.1% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.69% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 1.78% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.37%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • John McGinn 7' goal
  • Lucas Digne 53' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 62' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 73' yellowcard
  • Diego Carlos 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 28'
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 77'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 18, 2023 12.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ollie Watkins 5' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 31' goal
  • goal Bukayo Saka 16'
  • goal Oleksandr Zinchenko 61'
  • goal Emiliano Martinez 90'+3' (OG)
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gabriel Jesus 30' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 77' goal
  • goal Douglas Luiz 74'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jacob Ramsey 15' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 33' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 34' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 30'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Cedric Soares 57'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 65'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Thomas Partey 23' goal
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 45'+6' goal
  • Emile Smith Rowe 56' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 2'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 27'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 32'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 60'
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 82'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 84'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ollie Watkins 2' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 31' yellowcard
  • Marvelous Nakamba 35' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 52'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 90'+4'

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