Premier League Gameweek 35
Aston Villa
Apr 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Marc Cucurella 4' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 42' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 49' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 64' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 49'
  • goal Noni Madueke 62'
  • goal Conor Gallagher 81'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 82'
  • yellowcard Thiago Silva 87'
  • yellowcard Benoit Badiashile 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Noni Madueke 90'+10'

Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2024 3.00pm
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2024 8.00pm
Arsenal 5 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.62%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 20.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result

Aston Villa 59.62% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 20.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Chelsea 20.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.22% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 34.11% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 44.01% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 55.98% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 4.5 25.45% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 74.54% ▼ (-0.10)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 88.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 11.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 64.2% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 35.8% ▼ (-0.11)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 70.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 59.62%
Draw 20.11%
Chelsea 20.27%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 59.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.11%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 20.27%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Aston Villa
Feb 7, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Diego Carlos 38' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 90'+1' goal
  • goal Conor Gallagher 11'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 21'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 54'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Djordje Petrovic 76'
FA Cup
Chelsea
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Thiago Silva 9' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Luiz 12'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 46'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Chelsea
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' yellowcard
  • Malo Gusto 58' redcard
  • Ben Chilwell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 44'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 73'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Chelsea
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • goal Ollie Watkins 18'
  • goal John McGinn 56'
Club Friendlies 1
Aston Villa
Dec 11, 2022 2.10pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Chelsea
  • John McGinn 7' goal
Premier League Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • goal Mason Mount 6'
  • goal Mason Mount 65'

Form Data

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Lille 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Arsenal 0 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Lille
Aston Villa 3 - 3 Brentford
Man City 4 - 1 Aston Villa
Arsenal 5 - 0 Chelsea
Man City 1 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 6 - 0 Everton
Sheff Utd 2 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 4 - 3 Man Utd
Chelsea 2 - 2 Burnley

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