Premier League Gameweek 34
Aston Villa
Apr 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Bournemouth
  • Morgan Rogers 45'+1' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 57' goal
  • Leon Bailey 78' goal
  • Matty Cash 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 21'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 31'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 37'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 55'

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2024 4.30pm
Arsenal 0 - 2 Aston Villa
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 5.30pm
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man Utd
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Solanke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 59.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 19.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Bournemouth 20.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.45% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 32.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 45.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 54.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 26.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 73.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 89.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 10.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 65.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 34.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 71.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.78% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 59.75%
Draw 19.85%
Bournemouth 20.4%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 59.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.85%
Bournemouth
1-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 20.4%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 14
Bournemouth
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Antoine Semenyo 10' goal
  • Justin Kluivert 12' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 17' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 52' goal
  • Ryan Christie 54' yellowcard
  • Milos Kerkez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Leon Bailey 20'
  • yellowcard Pau Torres 29'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 43'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 84'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 90'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Aston Villa
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Bournemouth
  • Douglas Luiz 7' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 80' goal
  • Emiliano Buendia 89' goal
Premier League Gameweek 1
Bournemouth
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Jefferson Lerma 2' goal
  • Adam Smith 39' yellowcard
  • Ben Pearson 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Philip Billing 73' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 80' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Ings 23'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Bournemouth
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Seward Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Jefferson Lerma 18' yellowcard
  • Philip Billing 37' goal
  • Nathan Ake 44' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 51' redcard
  • Callum Wilson 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 36'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 43'
  • goal Mbwana Samatta 70'
  • yellowcard Kortney Hause 91'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
Aug 17, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Bournemouth
  • Douglas Luiz 71' goal
  • goal Joshua King 2'
  • goal Harry Wilson 12'
  • yellowcard Philip Billing 36'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ake 59'
Premier League
Aston Villa
Apr 9, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Bournemouth
  • Idrissa Gueye 36' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ayew 85' goal
  • Jordan Ayew 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steve Cook 27'
  • yellowcard Charlie Daniels 32'
  • goal Steve Cook 45'
  • goal Joshua King 74'

Form Data

Lille 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Arsenal 0 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Lille
Aston Villa 3 - 3 Brentford
Man City 4 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 0 Wolves
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man Utd
Luton 2 - 1 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 1 - 0 Crystal Palace
Bournemouth 2 - 1 Everton
Bournemouth 4 - 3 Luton
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Sheff Utd

Build-up

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