Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

Apr 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Rogers (45+1'), Diaby (57'), Bailey (78')
Cash (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Solanke (31' pen.)
Smith (21'), Senesi (37'), Zabarnyi (55')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa come from behind to record a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth in Sunday afternoon's Premier League contest at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-2 Man Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Bournemouth
59.75% ( -0.01)	19.85% ( 0.01)	20.4% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.45% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.38% (

-0.02)

32.61% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.72% (

-0.02)

54.28% (

0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.25% (

-0.01)

10.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.27% (

-0.02)

34.72% (

0.02)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09% (

-0.01)

28.9% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

-0.01)

64.78% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 59.75%

Bournemouth 20.4%

Draw 19.85%

Aston Villa	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 59.75%	1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.85%	1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.15% Total : 20.4%