Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.87%).