Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
| 55.99% ( | 23.48% ( | 20.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.95% ( | 49.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.87% ( | 71.13% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( | 17.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( | 47.73% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.74% ( | 38.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.98% ( | 75.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 3-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 5-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.53% |