Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.