Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Feb 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Charles Massot
Rennes

Le Puy
1 - 3
Rennes

Adinany (61')
Dief (49'), Diakhabi (53'), Piechocki (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Theate (9'), Bourigeaud (49' pen., 82')
Matusiwa (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coupe de France clash between Le Puy F43 Auvergne and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Le Puy 2-1 Laval
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
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Last Game: PSG 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 25 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Le Puy F43 Auvergne had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Le Puy F43 Auvergne win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Le Puy F43 AuvergneDrawRennes
18.07% (0.101 0.1)22.85% (0.267 0.27)59.08% (-0.369 -0.37)
Both teams to score 48.93% (-0.613 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.922 -0.92)49.77% (0.919 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (-0.831 -0.83)71.77% (0.82900000000001 0.83)
Le Puy F43 Auvergne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.61% (-0.422 -0.42)41.39% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1% (-0.376 -0.38)77.9% (0.374 0.37)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.446 -0.45)16.51% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-0.811 -0.81)46.24% (0.808 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Le Puy F43 Auvergne 18.07%
    Rennes 59.07%
    Draw 22.84%
Le Puy F43 AuvergneDrawRennes
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.155 0.16)
2-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 2.66% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.07%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.252 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 12.3% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 11.08% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.66% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-4 @ 3% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.64% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.08% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 59.07%

How you voted: Le Puy vs Rennes

Le Puy F43 Auvergne
21.1%
Draw
8.8%
Rennes
70.2%
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