Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
| 54.6% ( | 22.74% ( | 22.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.67% ( | 43.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.27% ( | 65.72% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.21% ( | 15.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.07% ( | 44.93% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( | 32.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( | 69.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 22.66% |