Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.