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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Parc des Princes
Rennes

PSG
1 - 1
Rennes

Ramos (90+7' pen.)
Hakimi (54'), Hernandez (70'), Ramos (87'), Ruiz (89'), Beraldo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gouiri (33')
Doue (48'), Blas (90+2'), Mandanda (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 3-2 AC Milan
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Rennes

Rennes have often possessed the recipe for success against PSG in recent times, and in spite of their agonising European exit, there ought to be no issues with confidence in the visitors' camp amid their otherwise exceptional streak of form. However, fatigued legs coming up against a refreshed and on-song PSG unit could be a recipe for disaster instead, and we have complete faith in the champions to capitalise on their opponents' continental exertions to take another step towards title glory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawRennes
54.6% (-0.234 -0.23) 22.74% (0.341 0.34) 22.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 56.44% (-1.313 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (-1.671 -1.67)43.33% (1.668 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27% (-1.666 -1.67)65.72% (1.663 1.66)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)15.78% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.07% (-1.235 -1.24)44.93% (1.233 1.23)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02% (-1.025 -1.03)32.98% (1.022 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43% (-1.152 -1.15)69.56% (1.148 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 54.6%
    Rennes 22.66%
    Draw 22.74%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawRennes
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.481 0.48)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.249 0.25)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 54.6%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.373 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.261 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 22.66%

How you voted: PSG vs Rennes

Paris Saint-Germain
85.7%
Draw
5.7%
Rennes
8.6%
70
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Rennes
1-3
PSG
Gouiri (56')
Omari (42')
Vitinha (32'), Hakimi (36'), Kolo (58')
Mar 19, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 28
PSG
0-2
Rennes
Toko Ekambi (45'), Kalimuendo (48')
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Rennes
1-0
PSG
Traore (65')
Feb 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
1-0
Rennes
Mbappe (90+2')
Mbappe (41'), Verratti (89')

Alemdar (90')
Oct 3, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 9
Rennes
2-0
PSG
Laborde (45'), Tait (46')
Laborde (24'), Martin (55')

Kimpembe (55'), Donnarumma (56'), Mbappe (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG28189165244163
2Brest29158644271753
3MonacoMonaco28157653381552
4Lille281310542251749
5Nice2913883122947
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Lyon29125123845-741
9Reims29117113639-340
10Marseille2810994133839
11Toulouse2999113437-336
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2999113340-736
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier29810113641-533
14NantesNantes3094172848-2031
15Le HavreLe Havre29610132737-1028
16Metz2975173049-1926
17Lorient2968153555-2026
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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